By Neil Patrick
I think this year will mark a turning point for social media
platforms. It’s a perfect storm which has been brewing these last couple of
years. Consider this:
Teens are leaving
Facebook in their millions. Why? Because their parents are there and they
don’t want to be seen in the same place, or have Mum and Dad see what they are
saying or doing. (‘twas always so right?) They are also fed up with online
bullying, sexual predators and relentless advertising. The selfie generation are
choosing to make their social networks private not public. So they have
migrated to Instagram, WhatsApp and other platforms where they can retain privacy.
Brands are failing to
get the leverage on social media they aspired to because they bought into
the myth (literally investing billons) that social media would enable them to
build a huge audience of committed followers for a fraction of what they were spending
on old media. It didn’t work because old media advertising methods don’t work
on social platforms where trust and affinity is created more by listening and engaging
with people than telling them stuff about you.
The platforms
themselves are under increasing pressure from the public and regulators
alike to stamp out the activities of the undesirables, everyone from ISIS
terror cells to child groomers and political extremists. In doing so, many people
who express politically 'unacceptable' sentiments are getting their accounts
suspended, while the real villains duck, dive and re-emerge under new names as
soon as they are shut down. This builds resentment and alienation amongst
people who place value on free speech.
Meanwhile the
earnings by the platforms are in many cases getting nowhere near the level they
need to achieve a sustainable business. Twitter made $91m profit in the fourth quarter of 2017 on
revenue of $732m. The first quarter in their 12 year history they have made
any profit at all. The market responded positively to this news, but I see
little prospect of this being a mark of turnaround, because new users are not
growing. Meanwhile operating costs look likely to increase as they have to
apply more resources to regulating user activity.
We are fast reaching social media saturation. For every PewDiePie millionaire teen
YouTuber there are thousands of other wannabes. And the queue is growing every
month. Just last week I encountered a YouTube star called Huw who has become
the number one most followed YouTuber on organic vegetable growing. Huw has
75,000 channel subscribers. Building this following has taken him 6 years. And
he’s earned just £12,000 from his success. That’s an average of just £2,000 a
year, or £166 a month. Huw is a young man however and I am sure he'll succeed in his career. It's just that it won't be on YouTube.
Social media is
starting to come of age and in maturity, the holes and shortcomings are coming
into plain sight. The myths are being outed.
The myth for
business users that creates the greatest damage I think is that success is
rooted in big numbers. This is a case of the platforms believing their own
hype. This deception carries right through to the analytics they provide to
users. Look at your Facebook, or Twitter or Pinterest analytics and you’ll see what
I mean. They focus on short term numbers – the last day or week or month. They
also encourage us to strive to constantly get bigger numbers. More followers,
more shares, more comments. More is always better right? No it’s not actually.
It is for the platforms
because this increases the money they can charge advertisers. For content creators it’s a pyrrhic
victory however. Why? Because whilst having 100,000 subscribers is great if you
are a YouTuber, that audience creates (a smallish) ad revenue stream for you. But
100,000 Twitter followers counts for very little. 50,000 LinkedIn connections?
Meh.
Just like the
platforms themselves, the investment of work, time and money to achieve
anything resembling a commercial success is just too high. And the hurdles are
getting ever higher as the competition for eyeballs grow exponentially as more
and more people pile in.
If you are using
social media as part of your business strategy, the time has come to get real
and face up to reality. Social media is still here and it is still powerful.
But only if you go about it in the right way. Here are the things I think we
should face up to:
A thousand or ten
thousand or a million connections have no value in and of themselves. Sure they might make you feel good, but
if they are not in some way making your business more valuable, they are
worth almost nothing. If you see success as simply making these numbers
bigger, you are chasing the wrong goal.
No one cares what you do. What they care about is WHY you do it.
This is why most businesses large and small struggle to get social media
working for them. Because what they do is simply to make profit for
shareholders. ‘Buy my stuff because it’s great’ has no currency on the
social web.
But we have a nice mission
statement. So what? Does that
mission live and breathe in everything everyone does everyday? And does it
make people want to help you?
The only way to have
people care about us is to show we care about them. This means that we listen more than we
speak. That we talk about what people care about – and usually that is not
ourselves. And that we demonstrate our care for them through our online
actions more than our words.
So a million follows
or likes or whatever might be the result of years of effort. But it’s worth
nothing unless it delivers a return. That return on investment is also set to
decline. Unless we rethink what we stand for and why anyone else would give a
s**t.
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